Internet DRAFT - draft-curran-viability

draft-curran-viability




Network Working Group                                          J. Curran
Internet draft                                                       BBN
Expire: September 1994                                     25 March 1994



		Market Viability as a IPng Criteria


                <draft-curran-ipng-viability-00.txt>

Status of this Memo

   This document was submitted to the IETF IPng area in response to RFC
   1550. Publication of this document does not imply acceptance by the
   IPng area of any ideas expressed within.  Comments should be
   submitted to the big-internet@munnari.oz.au mailing list.

   Distribution of this memo is unlimited.

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Introduction

In an open marketplace, adoption of new technology is driven by 
consumer demand.  New technologies that wish to succeed in the 
marketplace must provide new capabilities or reduced costs to gain 
consumer confidence.  Internetworking technologies can be 
particularly difficult to deploy and must provide a correspondingly 
high return on investment.  In order to determine market viability of 
new internetworking technology, it's necessary to compare the 
required deployment effort against the potential benefits as seen by 
the customer.  "Viability in the Marketplace" is an important 
requirement for any IPng candidate and this paper is an attempt to 
summarize some important factors in determing market viability of 
IPng proposals. 


Curran                                                          [Page 1]
 
Internet draft   IPng White Paper on Market Viability      25 March 1994 

"Pushing" Internetworking Technology

It has been asserted by some that the adoption of a single IPng 
protocol by the computing industry would generate general 
acceptance in the networking industry.  There is ample 
evidence to support this view; for example, some of the today's more 
prevalent networking protocols gained initial market acceptance 
through bundling with computer operating systems (e.g. IP via UNIX, 
DECNET via VMS, etc.)  It should be noted, however, that this 
approach to technology deployment is by no means assured, and 
some of today's most popular internetworking software (Novell, etc.) 
have thrived despite alternatives bundled by computing 
manufacturers.   Given that IPng will have to compete against an 
well established and mature internetworking protocol (IP version 4), 
promotion of an IPng solution by computer system manufacturers 
should be recognized as highly desirable but not sufficient on its own 
to ensure IPng acceptance in the marketplace.  

Can IPng compete against IPv4?

Given the large installed base of IPv4 systems, computer system 
manufacturers will need to continue to provide IPv4 capabilities for 
the foreseeable future.  With both IPng and IPv4 support in their 
new systems, users will be facing a difficult choice between using 
IPv4 and IPng for internetworking.  Existing IPv4 users will migrate 
to IPng for one of three possible reasons:

 New functionality not found in IPv4

IPng needs to provide functionality equivalent to that 
currently provided by IPv4.  It remains to be seen whether 
additional functionality (such as resource reservation, mobility, 
autoconfiguration, autoregistration, or security) will be 
included in the base specification of any IPng candidate.  In 
order to provide motivation to migrate to IPng, it will be 
necessary for IPng proposals to offer capabilities beyond those 
already provided IPv4.   

 Reduced costs by using IPng

It is quite unlikely that migration to IPng will result in cost 
savings in any organization.  Migration to IPng will certainly 
result in an increased need for training and engineering, and 
hence increased costs.   
	
 To gain connectivity to otherwise unreachable IPng hosts

For existing sites with valid IPv4 network assignments, 
connectivity is not affected until address depletion occurs. 
Systems with globally-unique IPv4 addresses will have 
complete connectivity to any systems since backwards-
compatible communication is required of new IPng hosts.   

Curran                                                          [Page 2]
 
Internet draft   IPng White Paper on Market Viability      25 March 1994 

From the perspective of an existing IPv4 site, IPng provides little 
tangible benefit until IPv4 address depletion occurs and 
organizations reachable only via IPng appear.  Given the absence of 
benefits from migration,  it is uncertain whether a significant base of 
IPng sites will be occur prior to IPv4 address depletion.

Sites which are not yet running IP have little motivation to deploy 
IPng for the immediate future.  As long as IPv4 network assignments 
are available, new sites have an choice to use IPv4 which provides 
the sufficient internetworking capabilities (measured in 
functionality, cost, and connectivity) for many organizations today.  
Given the parity in IPng and IPv4 capabilities, IPv4 (as a more 
mature internetworking protocol) is the more probable choice for 
organizations just now selecting an internetworking protocol.  

Once IPv4 address assignments are no longer available, sites wishing 
to participate in the global Internet will have a very difficult decision 
in selection of an internetworking protocol.   The current suite of 
IPng proposals cannot provide complete internetworking between 
IPng-only sites and IPv4-only sites since (by definition) there will be 
insufficient space to map all IPng addresses into the IPv4 address 
space.  As none of the proposals currently call for dynamic network 
address translation (NAT), it is inevitable that IPng-only sites will 
have access to a partial set of IPv4 sites at any given moment.

Internetworking services which do not allow complete access to the 
global Internet (IPv4 and IPng in the post-IPv4-address-depletion 
world) are clearly not as valuable as services which offer complete 
Internet access.  Sites which are unable to obtain IPv4 network 
assignments will be seeking Internet services which can provide 
complete Internet service.   Additionally, some sites will have 
"privately numbered" IPv4 networks and will desire similar Internet 
services which provide transparent access to the entire Internet.  
The development of network address translation devices and 
subsequent services is highly likely under these market conditions.

Summary

No internetworking vendor (whether host, router, or service vendor) 
can afford to deploy and support products and services which are not 
desired in the marketplace.  Given the potential proliferation of 
network address translation devices, it is not clear that IPng will 
secure sufficient following to attain market viability.  In the past, we 
have seen internetworking protocols fail in the marketplace despite 
vendor deployment and IPng cannot succeed if it is not deployed by 
organizations.  As currently envisioned, IPng may not be ambitious 
enough in the delivery of new capabilities to compete against IPv4 
and the inevitable arrival of network address translation devices.  In 
order to meet the requirement for "viability in the marketplace', 
IPng needs to deliver clearly improved functionality over IPv4 while 
offering some form transparent access between the IPv4 and IPng 
communities once IPv4 address depletion has occurred.

Curran                                                          [Page 3]
 
Internet draft   IPng White Paper on Market Viability      25 March 1994 

	
Author's Address

John Curran
BBN Technology Services, Inc.
10 Moulton Street
Cambridge MA 02138

jcurran@near.net